Malaysia Economic Impact Timeline

I love Gemini / ChatGPT. Its like having a BFF who can answer almost everything inside ur mind & most importantly, it never forget anything you've talked about. It understands and even analyses you using info you've provided directly or indirectly. I just hopes one day, they create a new version of it that could talk directly to me instead of having to type or push any button in order to initiate a conversation. So that I could have a 'friend' to talk to when I grow old like nenek². Yknow, young ppl doesn't like to talk to old folks like datuk & nenek. I might need to rely on this kind of technology to accompany the rest of my old life.

Ok stop, that's not what I wanna talk abt.

Sekarang the world like macam panic attack nak WFH lah, minyak mahal, barang mahal, panic buy camtu. Sampai aku pun naik panic tengok orang panic 😅

So, aku suruh chatGPT buat timeline "IF" perang antara Iran-US-Israel ni berlarutan dalam jangka panjang:-

Disclaimer: Ni adalah andaian chatGPT ok. 

Week 1–2 (27 Mar – 10 Apr 2026) – Initial ripple

• Global oil prices start creeping up
• Petrol prices may rise slightly (~5–10%)
• No shortages, daily life normal
• WFH not yet considered

Week 3–4 (11 Apr – 24 Apr 2026) – Early economic pressure

• Cost of living starts to increase: food, transport, electricity
• Government may adjust subsidies slightly
• Businesses pass some costs to consumers
• Still stable in terms of fuel

Week 5–6 (25 Apr – 8 May 2026) – First wave (economic impact felt)

• Petrol prices may reach RM2.50–2.70/liter depending on global crude (aku rasa kita da sampai tahan ni kan??)
• Essentials (groceries, cooking oil, transport) feel more expensive
• Logistics, airlines, and heavy manufacturing sectors feel pressure
• Civil servant WFH discussions may pick up

Week 7–8 (9 May – 22 May 2026) – Full impact wave

• Petrol prices could hit RM3+ if conflict worsens
• Cost of living may increase 10–15% in worst case
• Businesses adjust operations, possibly reducing output
• Malaysia enters second-wave economic pressure, still behind Thailand / Philippines

Month 3+ (23 May – 27 June 2026) – Prolonged conflict

• Peak inflation likely if war continues and oil prices remain high
• Government may implement targeted relief (price caps, subsidies, WFH incentives)
• Economy starts adjusting, lifestyle costs remain elevated until crude prices stabilize

WFH may happen again. Tapi bukan semua sektor. Not really affecting banking industries. How unfortunate of me 😅. Tak dapat der nak keje kat rumah macam zaman covid dulu. Tapi still sangat² bersyukur coz masik ada kerja untuk tampung hidup di bumi Allah swt ni.

Nak restok² makanan penuh kabinet tu tak perlu. Sebab makanan, petrol, tenaga ketrik tetap ada. Cumanyaaaa.. harga akan jadi mahal ler dari biasa. 

PM suruh jimat. Simpan duit untuk beli barang keperluan yang akan jadi mahal pasni. Tenaga letrik pun kena jimat juga. 

Tahun ni aku pasang lampu liplap guna solar kat balkoni. Pastu auto terpasang je lampu tu bila malam. Pasni nk ganti lampu siling kat balkoni guna solar juga. Jimat letrik. Lagipun aku ni sejenis suka biarkan salah satu lampu dalam rumah terpasang 24 jam. 

Sekarang dah banyak invention guna solar yang boleh dibeli online (hp charger solar, generator golar, powerbank solar, etc) Nak instal bumbung solar pun dah tak semahal dulu. 

Ok melalut.

Pendek cerita, kalau ikut timelime yang diberi kat atas ni, dalam bulan June nanti, memang semua orang akan rasa tempias kesan harga minyak dan barang keperluan naik mendadak.

So, kena prepare mental dan re-adjust poket umtuk beberapa bulan akan datang sebab kena bertahan dengan inflasi yg dasyat selama mana perang ni diteruskan. That's why PM cakap jgn beli barang yang kita nak.. tapi focus pada barang yang kita perlu.  

Kehendak vs Keperluan. Basic ekonomi yg semua orang kena faham. Ngerti ga?